US Politics - Trump Policy Specials (7)

Trump/Zelenskyy Specials

3/17/25 1:00 AM

Trump/Zelenskyy

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• Ukraine to hold a presidential election in 2025 EVEN
• Zelenskyy to appear on the cover of Vogue in 2025 +1500
• Zelenskyy to win the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize +300
• Trump and Zelenskyy to sign a deal on minerals by the end of March 2025 -1000
• US to formally recognise any of Ukraine's territory as being part of sovereign Russia in 2025 +180
• Trump and Zelenskyy to meet in person again in March 2025 EVEN

Will there be a US recession in 2025?

3/24/25 12:00 AM

US Recession?

• Yes +120
• No -160

Recession = two consecutive quarters of negative growth. Applies from Q4 2024 to Q4 2025 inclusive.

DOGE/Musk: No of firings/layoffs from civilian federal workforce by the end of June 2025?

4/1/25 9:00 PM

DOGE Layoffs

• Under 300k -115
• 300k to 400k +175
• Over 400k +300

Number of layoffs and firings as estimated by AP News to have been implemented by Elon Musk and Doge department by the end of June 2025. Bets void should AP not estimate before 15th July 2025.

Will Greenland become a US state in 2025?

4/6/25 4:00 AM

Greenland US State?

• Yes +1500
• No -6000

Applies to Greenland becoming a state within United States federal system/altering system of governance to be governed by US law under US sovereignty in 2025. Formal agreement to above within 2025 will count. Bookmaker decision final.

Will the Panama Canal come under US control in 2025?

4/6/25 5:00 PM

Panama Canal

• Yes +350
• No -550

Applies to Panama coming under full legal and operational control of United States in 2025. Formal agreement to above within 2025 will count. Bookmaker decision final.

Who will Trump kick out of the White House next?

4/7/25 2:00 AM

Who will Trump kick out next?

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• Elon Musk +400
• Justin Trudeau +400
• Donald Tusk +600
• Pedro Sánchez +1000
• Emmanuel Macron +1200
• JD Vance +1500
• Keir Starmer +1500
• Mark Zuckerberg +1500
• Melania Trump +1500
• Antonio Costa +2000
• Micheál Martin +2000
• Shigeru Ishiba +2000
• Some school children +2000
• Ursula von der Leyen +2000
• Dick Schoof +3000
• Evika Siliņa +3000
• Jonas Gahr Støre +3000
• Luis Montenegro +3000
• Petr Fiala +3000
• Simon Harris +3000
• Ulf Kristersson +3000
• Kim Jong Un +4000
• Vladimir Putin +4000

White House press secretary must confirm that Trump has curtailed a scheduled visit by asking person to leave early. Must happen by the end of Trump's current term Others on request.

Will Trump meet Putin by the end of April 2025?

4/27/25 4:00 AM

Will Trump Meet Putin?

• Yes +110
• No -145

Donald Trump Sr and Vladimir Putin; Meet = in person with face to face communication as covered by national televised news.

US Politics - Gubernatorial Elections (1)

California: 2026 Gubernatorial Election Winner

3/24/25 12:00 AM

California Governor 2026

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• Katie Porter +175
• Kamala Harris +230
• Eleni Kounalakis +400
• Antonio Villaraigosa +700
• John Cox +900
• Rick Caruso +900
• Steve Garvey +900
• Karen Bass +1500
• Adam Schiff +2000
• Tim Walz +2000
• Ron Reagan +2500

All in, run or not. Others on request.

US Politics - US Presidential Election 2028 (3)

US Presidential Election 2028 - Winning Party

3/30/25 4:01 AM

Winning Party

• Republican -145
• Democrat +115
• Independent +5000

US Presidential Election 2028 - Nominee Match-Ups

1/1/28 5:00 AM

Nominee Match-Ups

• Ron DeSantis (Republican) vs Gavin Newsom (Democrat) +1600
• Ron DeSantis (Republican) vs Michelle Obama (Democrat) +3000

Either candidate to be the official nominee of Party quoted/run against each other for the 2028 POTUS.

US Presidential Election 2028 - Odds to Win

11/8/28 3:00 AM

Winner

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• JD Vance +275
• Josh Shapiro +1200
• Donald Trump Jr. +1400
• Gavin Newsom +1600
• Gretchen Whitmer +2000
• Pete Buttigieg +2000
• Tulsi Gabbard +2500
• Ron DeSantis +2800
• Andy Beshear +3000
• Michelle Obama +3000
• Rick Scott +3000
• Tim Scott +3000
• Tucker Carlson +3000
• Wes Moore +3000
• Elon Musk +3500
• JB Pritzker +3500
• Kamala Harris +3500
• Mark Kelly +3500
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +4000
• Nikki Haley +4000
• Paul Ryan +4000
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. +4000
• Tom Cotton +4000
• Vivek Ramaswamy +4000
• Brian Kemp +5000
• Dan Crenshaw +5000
• Doug Burgum +5000
• Dwayne Johnson +5000
• Glenn Youngkin +5000
• Hakeem Jeffries +5000
• Mark Cuban +5000
• Ivanka Trump +6000
• Jamie Dimon +6000
• Tim Walz +6000
• Aaron Rodgers +7500
• Jon Stewart +8000
• Joe Rogan +10000
• Jill Biden +12500
• Joe Biden +15000
• Dana White +20000
• LeBron James +20000
• Taylor Swift +20000
• Travis Kelce +20000

Politician Specials - Donald Trump Specials (2)

Trump President Exit Date

4/27/25 4:00 AM

Trump Exit Date

• 2025 +900
• 2026 +800
• 2027 +800
• 2028 +600
• 2029 or later -300

Date that Donald Trump next officially ceases to be US President.

Donald & Melania: Year of Divorce

6/30/25 3:00 AM

Year Of Divorce

• 2025 +800
• 2026 +1000
• Not before 2027 -1000

Applies to the date of finalised divorce.