US Politics - Trump Policy Specials (6)

Will Trump end the Ukraine war within 90 days?

2/22/25 3:00 AM

Ukraine War End?

• Yes +190
• No -260

Ukraine and Russia must announce an armistice, ceasefire or negotiated settlement on or before April 19th 2025. Date of effect will have no bearing. Bookmaker decision is final.

Will Greenland become a US state in 2025?

3/2/25 5:00 AM

Greenland US State?

• Yes +600
• No -1200

Applies to Greenland becoming a state within United States federal system/altering system of governance to be governed by US law under US sovereignty in 2025. Formal agreement to above within 2025 will count. Bookmaker decision final.

Will Trump stockpile Bitcoin in federal reserve in 2025?

3/2/25 5:00 AM

Bitcoin Reserve 2025

• Yes +500
• No -900

US government official retention of Bitcoin in federal reserve, effected in 2025, as reported by New York Times.

Will the Panama Canal come under US control in 2025?

3/2/25 6:00 PM

Panama Canal

• Yes +375
• No -600

Applies to Panama coming under full legal and operational control of United States in 2025. Formal agreement to above within 2025 will count. Bookmaker decision final.

Will Trump meet Putin by the end of April 2025?

4/27/25 4:00 AM

Will Trump Meet Putin?

• Yes -400
• No +275

Donald Trump Sr and Vladimir Putin; Meet = in person with face to face communication as covered by national televised news.

Classified Documents

4/30/25 4:00 AM

Will Trump declassify Epstein list in first 100 days?

• Yes -165
• No +125

US Politics - Gubernatorial Elections (1)

Florida: 2026 Gubernatorial Election Winner

2/22/25 5:00 AM

Florida Governor

Show More

• Byron Donalds -2000
• Jeanette Nunez +1500
• Wilton Simpson +1500
• Casey DeSantis +2000
• Fentrice Driskell +2000
• Ashley Moody +4000
• Francis Suarez +5000
• Matt Gaetz +5000

All in, run or not. Others on request.

Politician Specials - Donald Trump Specials (2)

Donald & Melania: Year of Divorce

3/3/25 4:00 AM

Year Of Divorce

• 2025 +800
• 2026 +1000
• Not before 2027 -1000

Applies to the date of finalised divorce.

Trump President Exit Date

4/27/25 4:00 AM

Trump Exit Date

• 2025 +900
• 2026 +800
• 2027 +800
• 2028 +600
• 2029 or later -300

Date that Donald Trump next officially ceases to be US President.

US Politics - US Presidential Election 2028 (3)

US Presidential Election 2028 - Winning Party

3/30/25 4:01 AM

Winning Party

• Republican -145
• Democrat +115
• Independent +5000

US Presidential Election 2028 - Nominee Match-Ups

1/1/28 5:00 AM

Nominee Match-Ups

• Ron DeSantis (Republican) vs Gavin Newsom (Democrat) +1600
• Ron DeSantis (Republican) vs Michelle Obama (Democrat) +3000

Either candidate to be the official nominee of Party quoted/run against each other for the 2028 POTUS.

US Presidential Election 2028 - Odds to Win

11/8/28 3:00 AM

Winner

Show More

• JD Vance +275
• Josh Shapiro +1100
• Gavin Newsom +1600
• Donald Trump Jr. +1800
• Pete Buttigieg +2000
• Ron DeSantis +2000
• Gretchen Whitmer +2200
• Andy Beshear +2500
• Michelle Obama +2500
• Rick Scott +3000
• Tim Scott +3000
• Tucker Carlson +3000
• Vivek Ramaswamy +3000
• Wes Moore +3000
• JB Pritzker +3500
• Kamala Harris +3500
• Tulsi Gabbard +3500
• Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez +4000
• Elon Musk +4000
• Nikki Haley +4000
• Paul Ryan +4000
• Robert F. Kennedy Jr. +4000
• Tom Cotton +4000
• Brian Kemp +5000
• Dan Crenshaw +5000
• Doug Burgum +5000
• Dwayne Johnson +5000
• Glenn Youngkin +5000
• Hakeem Jeffries +5000
• Mark Cuban +5000
• Mark Kelly +5000
• Ivanka Trump +6000
• Jamie Dimon +6000
• Tim Walz +6000
• Aaron Rodgers +7500
• Jon Stewart +8000
• Joe Rogan +10000
• Jill Biden +12500
• Joe Biden +15000
• Dana White +20000
• LeBron James +20000
• Taylor Swift +20000
• Travis Kelce +20000

European Politics - European Union Specials (3)

Next EU member state to withdraw from the European Union

3/30/25 4:00 AM

Next Country To Leave The EU

Show More

• Italy +250
• Greece +400
• Hungary +800
• Netherlands +800
• Austria +1200
• Czechia +1200
• Spain +1200
• France +1500
• Poland +1500
• Portugal +1500
• Belgium +1800
• Cyprus +2000
• Ireland +2000
• Denmark +2500
• Sweden +2500
• Bulgaria +3500
• Croatia +3500
• Germany +4000
• Latvia +5000
• Lithuania +5000
• Romania +5000
• Slovakia +5000
• Slovenia +5000
• Estonia +6000
• Finland +6000
• Malta +6000
• Luxembourg +8000

Applies to sate of cessation of member state status.

When will Ukraine become an EU Member State?

3/30/25 4:00 AM

When will Ukraine become an EU member state?

Show More

• 2025 +800
• 2026 +600
• 2027 +600
• 2028 +1000
• 2029 +1000
• 2030 +1000
• Not before 2031 -125

Official date of membership applies.

Will the UK rejoin the EU as a member state before 2030?

3/30/25 4:00 AM

Will UK rejoin EU before 2030?

• Yes +425
• No -700

Official date of membership applies.

French Politics - France Presidential Election (1)

Politics - Irish Politics (3)

Politics - Scottish Politics (1)

UK Politics - UK General Election (3)

UK Politics - UK Party Leaders (3)